Health care fallout, plus the 100 Most Powerful People in Business dissected

Live from an ESG-themed cruise to Omaha, Nebraska, it’s an all-new Terrific Tuesday edition of Business Pants. Joined by Analyst-Hole Matt Moscardi! On today's wet wool sock called December 10th 2024: More about the NEO Murder and the 100 Most Powerful People in Business!


Our show today is being sponsored by Free Float Analytics, the only platform measuring board power, connections, and performance for FREE.

DAMION1

All the NEO Murderer updates:

  1. Luigi Mangione/Brian Thompson

    1. Mangione attended elite schools

      1. BA/MS Penn

      2. Gilman School, an elite all-boys preparatory school in Baltimore: In his valedictorian speech, Mangione praised classmates for "challenging the world"

    2. Mangione comes from a wealthy and influential Baltimore family

      1. Mangione is one of 37 grandchildren of the late Nick Mangione Sr., a prominent multimillionaire real-estate developer in Baltimore who died in 2008

      2. Members of the Mangione family own the Turf Valley Resort in Ellicott City, Maryland, and Hayfields Country Club in Hunt Valley, Maryland

    3. He favorably reviewed the Unabomber Manifesto: Ted Kaczynski's "Industrial Society and Its Future"

      1. "He was a violent individual — rightfully imprisoned — who maimed innocent people," Mangione wrote. "While these actions tend to be characterized as those of a crazy luddite, however, they are more accurately seen as those of an extreme political revolutionary."

      2. "'Violence never solved anything' is a statement uttered by cowards and predators,'" Mangione quoted.

    4. He founded an app and worked in tech

    5. He was arrested while on his laptop at a McDonald's, the police said

      1. The complaint said that when asked for identification, Mangione gave police officers a New Jersey driver's license with the name "Mark Rosario." When asked why he lied, Mangione replied, "I clearly shouldn't have," the complaint said.

    6. Police in Pennsylvania also found a three-page, handwritten “manifesto” taking aim at the health care industry for prioritizing profits over patient care by two law enforcement officials, according to the New York Times.

  2. Some reactions

    1. CEO killing, rage over insurance plunges UnitedHealth into crisis

      1. Brian Thompson’s death has become a symbol of revenge over denied medical bills and lack of access to necessary care, an issue that some UnitedHealth employees say they’re growing increasingly anxious about.

      2. The vitriol following the shooting sparked a reckoning among some UnitedHealth employees. Much of the public animosity was aimed at the way insurance companies prevent Americans from getting the care their doctors prescribe. Some employees grappled with the idea that their paychecks were padded in part by the practice of denying care.

      3. Witty, in a video to staff last week, attempted to address the rage but failed to change the narrative for some workers. “As you’ve seen, people are writing things we simply don’t recognize, are aggressive, inappropriate and disrespectful,” he said, urging employees to ignore the media. “There’s no value in engaging.”

        1. But:

          1. Before the investor day last week was cut short, Witty used some of his time on stage to acknowledge the widespread dissatisfaction with his industry. “You only have to walk into a room with five people to hear four stories of frustration. ‘I couldn’t find a doctor, I didn’t know where to go. It’s too difficult to understand,’” he said in a room full of financial analysts and investors.

      4. The culture at the top was shaped for years by veterans of the defunct accounting firm Arthur Andersen, where Chairman and former CEO Stephen Hemsley once worked. A previous CEO, William McGuire, unceremoniously left the company and settled with the Securities and Exchange Commission over backdating stock options that regulators alleged enriched him and other executives.

      5. In recent years, a series of acquisitions have consolidated UnitedHealth’s position so much that when a cyberattack took out its Change Healthcare subsidiary, doctors offices and hospitals across the country were paralyzed. That market dominance has come under review by the Department of Justice, Bloomberg News has reported. Members of Congress who have called for a breakup of the conglomerate.

      6. Thompson was one of a handful of executives who sold UnitedHealth shares after the company learned it was under investigation by the DOJ, but before that information was shared with the public, Bloomberg reported. The company’s stock fell when the DOJ investigation was reported. Thompson sold $15.1 million worth of shares, according to Bloomberg calculations.

        1. Market insanity: rage of insurer causes murder of NEO, up 1%.  Social media outpour of rage over insurers because of NEO murder, down 8.5%

    2. 1-star McDonald’s reviews and sympathetic merch: Companies try to stop online support for CEO killer suspect

    3. Ted Cruz Accuses Luigi Mangione of Being a 'Leftist' Despite Social Media Posts Praising Tucker Carlson and Decrying the 'Woke Mind Virus'

    4. After thousands celebrated UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson's killing, now even top internet sleuths are not willing to help in investigation; what's the reason?

      1. “This sparking of online praise for the killing or the killer is shocking in nature”

      2. “some are talking about Thompson being one of those responsible for the fragile state of the US Healthcare industry, which is shocking as, during other cases netizens usually post videos, condolences

      3. From the Indian English-language business-focused daily newspaper: “delivering profits of a whopping $16.4 billion, in the previous year alone”

  3. How UnitedHealthcare and other insurers use AI to deny claims

    1. UnitedHealthcare and Humana have been sued over their use of algorithms to determine coverage of care for some patients

    2. In October, a report from the U.S. Senate Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations showed that the nation’s insurers have been using AI-powered tools to deny some claims from Medicare Advantage plan subscribers.

    3. The report found that UnitedHealthcare’s denial rate for post-acute care — health care needed to transition people out of hospitals and back into their homes — for people with Medicare Advantage plans rose to 22.7% in 2022, from 10.9% in 2020.

    4. The rise coincides with UnitedHealthcare’s implementation of an AI model called nH Predict, originally developed by naviHealth, a subsidiary of UnitedHealth Group that has since been rebranded.

    5. Algorithms like nH Predict can analyze millions of data points to generate predictions and recommendations by comparing patients to others with apparently similar characteristics, according to an article on JAMA Network. However, the article cautions that claims of enhanced accuracy through advanced computational methods are often exaggerated.

      1. Both UnitedHealth and Humana are currently facing lawsuits over their use of nH Predict. The suits allege that insurers pressured case managers to follow the algorithm’s length-of-stay recommendations, even when clinicians and families objected.

      2. One lawsuit filed last year against UnitedHealth claims that 90% of the algorithm’s recommendations are reversed on appeal.

      3. The lawsuit states that UnitedHealthcare wrongfully denied elderly patients care by “overriding their treating physicians’ determinations as to medically necessary care based on an AI model that Defendants know has a 90% error rate.”

  4. Leaked video shows UnitedHealth CEO defending practices that prevent ‘unnecessary’ care

    1. According to ValuePenguin, a site that helps users compare insurance plans’ costs, UnitedHealth’s 32% claims denial rate was twice the industry average. 

  5. Disclosure?

    1. CVS, Anthem, other big corporations remove executive photos from their websites after UnitedHealthcare CEO shooting

    2. UnitedHealthcare CEO killing spurs Centene to hold virtual meeting and insurers to pull exec photos

    3. UnitedHealthcare and other major insurance companies pull company and board leadership bios from their websites after executive’s killing

    4. UnitedHealthcare and other insurers are pulling info about execs offline after a CEO was killed

  6. Security

    1. This was preventable’: Corporate world shudders at new risks after slaying of UnitedHealthcare CEO

    2. Here’s how the killing of the UnitedHealthcare CEO will change executive security moving forward

      1. Experts say companies will more closely track their corporate and executives’ social media accounts for any potential threats.

    3. Targeted killing of UnitedHealth CEO sends a chill among executives

    4. UnitedHealthcare CEO shooting reveals complexities in safeguarding corporate executives

    5. Thomson death benefits payout: $20,893,067


100 Most Powerful People in Business Main Takeaways:

  1. Andrew Witty (51)

    1. The actual CEO at UnitedHealth

      1. The company has been in the spotlight this year after suffering a major cyberattack, and Witty testified before Congress that data from “maybe” one-third of Americans was stolen.

  2. !28.5 POC/17.5 F

  3. Mary Barra (9) was a DEI placement, Sorry, Mary.

  4. One black man? And it’s a 17-year-old from a horrible restaurant. Sorry, Damola Adamolekun (89)

    1. Became CEO in August 2024; bankruptcy plan approved 10 days later

    2. Where’s Lowe’s CEO/Chair and FedEx board member Marvin Ellison?

    3. How about Eaton ($143B) CEO/Chair Craig Arnold?

      1. Also Nom chair at Medtronic ($107B) where he has 11% influence

  5. Daniel Ek (37) way higher than Tik Tok founder and ByteDance Chair Zhang Yiming (92) from Spotify

    1. but nobody from Snap or Reddit

  6. Carlos Tavares (62)

    1. “Carlos Tavares, CEO of Stellantis, is a self-described “petrol-head” whom colleagues view as a “Samurai” laser-focused on building competitive car brands.”

    2. “on a daunting path to turn around the carmaker’s fortunes before he retires in 2026. Stellantis is dealing with a bloated inventory following unpopular price hikes, with profits nearly halving in the first half of 2024 to $5.6 billion”

    3. Fired last weeK: Stellantis CEO Carlos Tavares lost control of the automaker with ‘arrogant’ mistakes, sources say

  7. Doesn’t the fact that co-CEOs are listed together undermine the entire list? It means the position is powerful and not the person:

    1. Netflix: Ted Sarandos and Greg Peters (41)

    2. KKR: Scott Nuttall and Joseph Bae 

  8. One of the most powerful people in business in the world doesn’t even have a picture? Charlwin Mao (77): CEO and Cofounder of Chinese social media company Xiaohongshu

  9. Satya Nadella (3) is more powerful than Mark Zuckerberg (7) and Jeff Bezos (11)?

  10. CEOs more powerful than their founders?

    1. Satya Nadella (3) vs. BIll Gates (22)

    2. Sundar Pichai (10) vs. Sergey Brin and Larry Page (33)

    3. Safra Catz (35) vs. Larry Ellison at (72)

      1. Ellison still chair. Even his son is something: David owns Skydance Media which just bought Paramount where he will become CEO/Chair

    4. But not: Andy Jassy (26) vs. Jeff Bezos (11)


MATT1

Most powerful who?

  1. Mukesh Ambani (12)

  2. Ren Zhengfei (14)

  3. Wang Chuanfu (19)

  4. Lars Jorgensen (29)

  5. Dave Ricks (31)

  6. Scott Nuttall and Joseph Bae (32)

  7. CC Wei (40)

  8. Yasir Al-Rumayyan (45)

  9. Jonathan Gray (46)

  10. Brian Armstrong (50)

  11. Grace Wang (56)

  12. Lei Jun (57)

  13. Carol Tome (59)

  14. Gail Boudreaux (60)

  15. Robin Zeng (61)

  16. Akio Toyoda (63)

  17. Nicolas Hieronimus (65)

  18. Nicolai Tangen (68)

  19. Helen Wong (71)

  20. George Kurtz (76)

  21. Charlwin Mao (77)

  22. Garry Tan (84)

  23. Jay Y Lee (85)

  24. Damola Adamolekun (89)

  25. Zhang Yiming (92)

  26. Brian Sikes (93)

  27. Catherine MacGregor (95)

  28. Josh Kushner (96)

  29. Tricia Griffith (100)


Methodology for Fortune 100 Most Powerful Executives

  • Size of the business the person runs, based on our screen that factors in mid-term (three-year) and short-term (past 12 months) revenue and profit growth, profitability, and market value.

  • Health of the business, based on trailing 12-month measures of liquidity, operating efficiency, and solvency.

  • Innovation: Has the person accomplished something nobody else has and that competitors followed?

  • Influence: How greatly do their words and actions shape the behavior of others?

  • Trajectory: Where is the person in the arc of their career?

  • Impact: Is this person using their power to make the world a better place?


Executives not in FF database:

  1. Altman (8) in, but not enough data

  2. Ren Zhengfei (14) in, but not enough data

  3. Chuanfu (19) not in

  4. Gates (22) in, not active

  5. Sweet (23) not in

  6. Jorgensen (29) not in, quirk of EU boards

  7. Koch (39) not in

  8. Amodei (48) not in

  9. Collison boys (53) not in

  10. Griffin (54) not in

  11. Tangen (68) not in

  12. Luckey (81) not in

  13. Ulukaya (83) not in

  14. Tan (84) not in

  15. Singer (86) not in

  16. Dyson (88) not in

  17. Adamolekun (89) not in

  18. Blume (90) not in, EU quirk

  19. Bloomberg (91) not in


Things I noticed:

  • First I didn’t know was Mukesh Ambani at 12, overall didn’t know 26

  • Andrew Witty and Walmsley are the back to back CEOs of GSK

  • Tavares just quit in disgrace

  • Charlwin Mao (77) has no picture!


Stats

  • Average Performance metrics

    • EBITDA: 0.464

      • Worst: Roelef Botha, 0.050

      • Best: CC Wei, 0.994

    • Carbon intensity: 0.567

      • Worst: Buffett, 0.015

      • Best: Tim Cook, 0.741

    • TSR: 0.518

      • Worst: Robin Zhang, 0.127 (second, Neal Mohan, 0.178)

      • Best: Joe Bae, 0.917

    • Controversies: 0.331

      • Worst: Woods, Doug McMillon, Sergey Brin, Larry Page, Sundar Pichai - all 0.000, worst in the database

      • Best: Tarang Amin, Helen Wong, CC Wei, George Kurtz, Larry Culp, Neal Mohan, Robin Zhang - all 1.000, best in the database

  • Influence: 22%

    • Highest non executive: Mellody Hobson, 20.4% influence at SBUX

    • Lowest non executive: Catherine MacGregor, 0.3% influence at MSFT

      • Second lowest: Mellody Hobson, 0.9% influence at JPM

  • Network power: $26tn average

    • Top: Yasir Al-Rumayyan, $118tn

    • Bottom: Grace Wang, $33bn

  • Realized pay 2023: $40m average

    • Chesky, $942m

  • Friends

    • MSFT: Nadella, Walmsley, MacGregor, Hoffman

    • Disney: Catz, Barra, Iger

    • JPM: Dimon, Novakovic, Hobson

    • Adobe: Narayen, Ricks, Amon

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An NEO murder, Musk’s pay re-re-reversal, a woke lawsuit for BLK, and corporate cowardice